Budget 2024: The Union Budget presented on July 23 has sparked a diverse range of responses. Centered on the vision of a ‘Viksit Bharat’, the budget outlines nine strategic pillars: agricultural transformation, employment generation, social welfare, industrial growth, urban development, energy independence, infrastructure enhancement, technological advancement, and governance reform. By allocating substantial resources to these areas, the government aims to ignite economic growth, foster innovation, and build a resilient economy capable of sustained prosperity.
Impact: Positive
Allocating Rs 2.66 lakh crore for rural development and introducing new schemes for MSME loans will catalyze substantial economic growth. The investment in rural infrastructure will stimulate economic activity in these areas, while the increased credit availability for MSMEs will foster innovation and expansion. The focus on critical minerals and private-driven research will support long-term economic development and technological advancement. Collectively, these measures will enhance economic stability and drive growth across multiple sectors, reinforcing overall economic progress.
Impact: Positive
The budget’s substantial allocation signals a major push for the real estate and construction sectors. This investment is poised to catalyze economic growth by creating jobs and stimulating local economies through new housing projects. Further, the proposed reduction in stamp duties and the development of urban infrastructure, including weekly markets and transit-oriented development, are expected to further propel sector growth. These measures collectively aim to enhance housing affordability, improve urban living, and contribute to overall economic stability and development.
Impact: Positive
The allocation for employment and skill development is set to have a major impact on job creation and workforce enhancement. By providing incentives for job creation and increasing funding for skill development, the government aims to build a more skilled and productive workforce. This initiative is expected to drive economic growth by improving employment rates and supporting industrial productivity, ultimately leading to a more robust and capable workforce.
Impact: Positive
The allocation of ₹1.48 lakh crore for education, employment, and skilling, along with financial support for loans up to ₹10 lakh for higher education, represents a strong investment in the future workforce. This funding will enhance educational infrastructure, improve access to higher education, and support skill development programs. These measures are expected to lead to a more educated and skilled population, which will contribute to increased productivity and economic growth. By addressing both educational and employment needs, these investments will strengthen the foundation for long-term economic development and innovation.
Impact: Mixed
Revisions in tax rates and fiscal policies introduce both opportunities and challenges. Lower corporate tax rates are likely to stimulate economic growth by enhancing business profitability, while the increased STT on Futures and Options could affect investment patterns. The adjustments in the tax regime and increased standard deductions aim to boost disposable income. However, the overall economic impact will depend on how these changes balance out and their effects across different sectors and investment types.
Impact: Positive
The allocation for road connectivity and capital expenditure demonstrates a strong commitment to enhancing infrastructure. Improved infrastructure will facilitate better connectivity and efficiency in transportation, essential for economic growth. This investment is expected to support economic activity and development across various sectors by reducing operational costs and improving logistics, thereby contributing to overall economic progress.
Impact: Positive
The above initiatives will significantly bolster innovation and technological advancement. These investments are expected to drive substantial growth in the space economy and support cutting-edge research across various fields. Further, the development of small modular reactors in partnership with the private sector is likely to advance nuclear technology, offering potential benefits in energy efficiency and sustainability. Collectively, these initiatives will foster a more dynamic and forward-looking research and development landscape, supporting long-term economic growth and technological progress.
Impact: Positive
The allocation will provide substantial support to the agricultural sector. By enhancing agricultural productivity and food security, these measures will contribute to economic stability and growth. The increased support for agriculture is expected to strengthen the sector and reinforce overall economic stability by improving productivity and resilience.
Impact: Positive
New schemes and credit guarantees for MSMEs and the manufacturing sector are set to drive growth and innovation. The increased limit for MUDRA loans and the introduction of new credit guarantee schemes will facilitate easier access to financing. These measures are anticipated to boost industrial productivity and support economic development. By enhancing financial access and providing incentives for growth, these initiatives will contribute to a more dynamic and resilient economy.
Impact: Neutral
The increased defense allocation to ₹4.56 lakh crore reflects ongoing investment in national security and modernization of defense capabilities. While this investment supports the defense sector and enhances national security, it does not directly impact other economic sectors. The focus remains on strengthening defense infrastructure and technology, with limited immediate effects on broader economic or sectoral growth.
The budgetary measures introduced are set to bring about substantial positive changes in healthcare, research and development, and education. Investments in the space economy, private-driven research, and the development of small modular reactors are expected to drive technological advancements and innovation. Meanwhile, the significant allocation for education and higher education loans will strengthen the workforce of tomorrow.
By Anamika Singh, Assistant Professor, Rajiv Gandhi College of Arts, Commerce and Science.
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